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Morgan Stanley Hikes Its Summer Oil Price Forecast to $94

ncreased geopolitical risk in oil-producing regions is seen as a key driver of higher oil prices.
Tighter markets due to OPEC+ cuts and Russia’s export limitations are putting upward pressure on prices.
In an increasingly bullish oil market, Morgan Stanley sees Brent Crude hitting $94 per barrel in the third quarter of 2024.

Stronger US dollar weighs on oil prices

Global oil prices settled lower Friday for a third day in a row as the US dollar rose to the highest level in more than a month in the wake of the move by the Fed to pencil in three possible rate cuts this year, dovish remarks from the Bank of England and the surprise rate cut from the Swiss National Bank.

Red Sea Crisis and OPEC+ Cuts Support Oil Prices

Prices for North Sea and West African crude grades have increased this month.
The Red Sea shipping crisis and OPEC+ output cuts have tightened oil markets.
U.S. benchmark oil prices are also supported by higher demand for American crude in Europe due to the Red Sea disruption to flows.