Commodity analysts at Standard Chartered have reported that silver and distillates are the only commodities whose investor positioning has changed significantly from a year ago.
Standard Chartered: oil could be undervalued by at least $10 per barrel.
Supply and demand balances are significantly more bullish compared to a year ago, when an outsized January surplus of 3.5 mb/d led to a large 1.6 mb/d Q1-2023 surplus.
World oil consumption will rise by 1.1 million barrels per day(bpd) in 2024, the International Energy Agency (IEA) said in a monthly report
Oil prices held steady on Tuesday amid uncertainty over voluntary output cuts by OPEC+ and as continued tension in the Middle East spurred supply concern.
Brent crude futures LCOc1 edged up 13 cents to $78.16 a barrel by 0106 GMT, while U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude futures CLc1 were up 18 cents at $73.22 a barrel.
This week, the oil market witnessed a significant rebound, driven by a confluence of factors including a weaker dollar and revised demand forecasts from major energy organizations.
Oil prices are on course for their first weekly increase in eight weeks, a shift in sentiment that was driven in large part by the Federal Reserve pledging to cut interest rates next year.
OPEC+ faces record-breaking U.S. oil production and rising supply from other non-OPEC+ producers, including Brazil, Guyana, Canada, and Norway.
Barring a major geopolitical escalation resulting in a large supply outage, oil prices are unlikely to reach $100 a barrel in 2024.
Paul Sankey: Record-high U.S. oil production is a “huge problem” for OPEC+
The Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) said global oil demand should grow by 2.2 million barrels per day next year to an average of 104.36 mbd.
World oil consumption will rise by 1.1 million barrels per day(bpd) in 2024, the International Energy Agency (IEA) said in a monthly report
Reuters: OPEC’s crude oil production dropped in November for the first monthly decline since July.
OPEC produced 27.81 million barrels per day of crude last month, a drop of 90,000 bpd compared to October.
In November, Iran, which is exempted from the OPEC+ cuts, further increased its output to a five-year high, according to the Reuters survey.
Saudi Arabia reduced the official selling price of its flagship crude by $0.50 per barrel for Asian buyers in January.
This is the first price reduction in seven months, although it is a smaller reduction than analysts had expected.
The move was in response to intensified international competition after OPEC production cuts pushed Middle Eastern oil prices higher.